Behavioral Finance
The biases that quietly destroy returns, and the procedural defenses that work.
There is a category of investing problems that no amount of stock-picking skill can fix: the human one. Loss aversion, confirmation bias, sunk cost fallacy, recency bias, narrative fallacy, and overconfidence systematically distort the decisions retail investors make during stretches that matter most — drawdowns, post-hoc analyses of losses, decisions about when to add or trim. The performance penalty across these biases, measured across decades of trading records, is enormous.
This cluster names the major biases, describes how they show up in real portfolio decisions, and walks through the procedural defenses that actually work. The defense is rarely motivational. It is structural — predetermined rules, position-size caps, scheduled rebalances, documented theses you can revisit when emotions take over.
Recommended reading order
3 articles, ordered for sequential learning. Skim by title if you already know the basics.
- 1Max Drawdown Explained: The Number Investors Ignore Until It's Too Late
The single most predictive number for whether you'll actually stay invested long enough to capture the returns a strategy advertises.
Read → - 2How to Evaluate a Financial Advisor (Without Getting Sold)
Most advisors are salespeople. The questions that separate fiduciary professionals from the rest, and what to walk away from.
Read → - 3What Is a Benchmark? (And Why the Wrong One Will Mislead You)
Benchmarks shape every performance evaluation. Picking the wrong one makes any strategy look better or worse than it really is.
Read →
Tepper Tactical
The tepper tactical model portfolio applies the methodology this topic covers. 18.1% CAGR over the backtest, +7% alpha vs the S&P 500.
Explore Tepper Tactical→The Market Normality Report
Where today’s S&P 500 sits in 75 years of history. Twelve brand-designed pages. Print-ready. Free.
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